Staying on Course
By Brett Lozowski
Despite some turbulence, financial markets continued to rally this past quarter. The US stock market (S&P 500 index) hit all-time highs gaining a terrific 22.0% year to date. Bonds also continued to gain posting 4.5% return year to date.
Everything went right for financial markets this quarter. The stock market quickly shrugged off a volatile 10% pullback in August just to record new all-time highs in September. Inflation continued to ease, unemployment rates remained near historic lows, and we even got the long-awaited rate cut from the Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve even indicated further rate cuts this year, which can help consumer lending rates.
With financial markets surging to fresh all-time highs, you would think nothing can stop financial markets from running higher. Well, it only takes one small clog in the machine to derail everything, whether that be higher unemployment, lower corporate profitability, unexpected higher inflation, or lower interest rate cuts than expected.
You may notice I left off the US presidential election. There will likely be a very turbulent news cycle through this last month leading up to the election. As you remember from our July newsletter, who wins the presidential election has very little impact on the financial markets.
The largest companies in the US became successful through their resiliency. They overcame and endured many economic cycles and presidential cycles throughout their history, and they will continue to remain resilient regardless of who wins the next presidential election.
Just like our favorite companies - we must also remain resilient and disciplined to our approach in sticking with our financial plans. Success happens when we follow the plan and avoid the noise that often causes people to abandon rational thought. We’ll remind you of this when the picture isn’t so rosy.
As always, your team at Life Planning Partners is here for you with any questions or concerns you may have!
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