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PDF | Research | Week of December 4, 2023

Quote of the Week

“The time will come at some point, and I’m not

saying when, that it’s appropriate to cut.”

– Jerome Powell, Chair, Federal Reserve.

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Please Cast your Vote for Churchill

Thanks to all of your support, Churchill Asset Management has been selected as a finalist across multiple categories in the Private Equity International and Private Debt Investor Awards this year! We are honored to be nominated for several of our strategies, showcasing the breadth of our leading private capital platform. Winners are determined by industry vote, so please take a moment to cast yours by following the instructions below. We appreciate your support!

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Americas category:

Lender of the Year


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Lender of the Year

Junior Lender of the Year

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The New Paradigm (Third of a Series)

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The New Paradigm (Fourth of a Series)

Why is private credit getting called out for potential bubbles and systemic risk when banks have been the ones failing? We posed that question to Van Hesser, the chief strategist for KBRA. Mr. Hesser produces a weekly podcast, “Three Things in Credit.” His October 27th conversation about private credit, capital markets and the economy caught our attention. 


“It’s a reflection of what’s new,” he told us in our latest Private Capital Call podcast. “Post GFC regulators very successfully de-risked the banking system. We’ve seen a lot of capital coming into private capital markets over the past decade or so. The rush of money into that space gives some pause as they try to figure out is this a good or bad thing.


“We think this is a positive evolutionary step in the financial system. It takes the risk out of the hands of the twelve or so largest global banks, who cede control of their decision-making to regulators in times of stress. You’ve pushed and defused that risk across the globe into a thousand institutional investors. That’s a much better shock absorber...

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New: Private Capital Call Podcast


Episode 2: Van Hesser, Chief Strategist at KBRA

"It's going to be back to normal, which will be very different from a lot we've gone through in the last 15 years." - Van Hesser


Listen Now

Chart of the Week

More in ‘24

Economic growth estimates for next year have improved in recent months.

Source: Bloomberg, The Daily Shot

(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

February 6 & 7, 2024

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Stat of the Week

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Loan Stats at a Glance 

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Contact: Marina Lukatsky / PitchBook LCD

PDI Picks

APAC takes a fundraising hit as China suffers

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After years of plenty, life has become much harder for fundraisers in Asia Pacific – especially for those with exposure to an ailing China. 


The overall trend of recent years has been for Asia Pacific private debt to gain traction among investors...

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis

2023 US LBO purchase price multiples are the lowest since 2018

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US LBO purchase price multiples have decreased two steps this year, to 11.2x on average, the lowest mark since 2018...

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Contact: David Puchowski / Refinitiv LPC

The Pulse of Private Equity

A quarter of megafunds

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Your copy should address 3 key questions: Who am I writing for? (Audience) Why should they care? (Benefit) What do I want them to do here? (Call-to-Action)


Create a great offer by adding words like "free" "personalized" "complimentary" or "customized." A sense of urgency often helps readers take an action, so think about inserting phrases like "for a limited time only" or "only 7 remaining"!

Read More and Download Data/Report

Contact: Alex Lykken / PitchBook

DL Deals: News & Analysis

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Year-to-Date Default Volume, Count

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Contact: Eric Rosenthal / KBRA DLD

Middle Market & Private Credit

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Fitch’s Private Middle Market Portfolio,

Rating Activity

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Defaults in Fitch’s PMM portfolio persisted at a low level this quarter with two issuers defaulting, bringing...

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Contact: Elena Wang / FitchRatings

Covenant Trends 

Percentage of Loans with Asset Sale Sweep

Step-downs

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Read More & Download Data

Contact: Steven Miller / Covenant Review

High-Yield Bond Statistics

Launched Volume

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New-issue Yields

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Weekly Fund Flows

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Weekly fund flows source: Lipper

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Contact: Robert Polenberg / LevFin Insights

Private Debt Intelligence

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Private debt deal value in Canada

rebounds in 2023 

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Your copy should address 3 key questions: Who am I writing for? (Audience) Why should they care? (Benefit) What do I want them to do here? (Call-to-Action)


Create a great offer by adding words like "free" "personalized" "complimentary" or "customized." A sense of urgency often helps readers take an action, so think about inserting phrases like "for a limited time only" or "only 7 remaining"!

Read More & Download Data

Contact: Megan Harris / Preqin

Debtwire Middle-Market

Exposed companies in the US real-estate market

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Restructuring activity in the real-estate market picked up in 3Q23, with 11 companies filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection...

Read More & Download Data

Contact: Ben Watson / Debtwire 

Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

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Contact: Stefan Shaffer / SPP Capital Partners

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This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.