Stocks Slip
The major U.S. stock indexes slipped for the second week in a row, as the market’s solid daily gain on Tuesday was offset by declines later in the week. The modest two-week retreat was in contrast with the four-month rally that preceded it—a period when the S&P 500 rose 16 out of 18 weeks.
A benchmark of U.S. small-cap stocks lagged its larger peers by a wide margin, expanding small caps’ year-to-date performance deficit. The Russell 2000 Index was down 2% for the week.
A pair of reports showed that inflationary pressures remain stubborn, even as U.S. interest rates remain at their highest level since 2001. A report issued Tuesday on consumer prices and a Thursday update on producer prices both recorded price gains that were slightly higher than most economists had expected. The Consumer Price Index came in at an annual 3.2% rate in February, up from 3.1% the previous month.
Yields of U.S. government bonds rose as the latest inflation data produced a shift in the interest-rate outlook. After retreating the previous week to 4.08%, the yield of the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond rebounded to close at 4.31% on Friday.
Amid tightening oil supplies, the price of U.S. crude rose around 4% for the week, reaching a peak of around $81.60 per barrel on Thursday afternoon. Although the price slipped to around $81.00 on Friday, oil remained near its highest level in more than four months.
A week after hitting a record high, the price of the most widely traded cryptocurrency pushed even higher, eclipsing $73,000 on Wednesday. However, Bitcoin’s price pulled back later in the week, and it was trading around $68,000 on Friday, close to where it ended the previous week. Year to date, the cryptocurrency was up more than 60%.
February’s 0.6% gain in U.S. retail sales was slightly below the consensus estimate of economists; however, the result marked an improvement from the 1.1% decline recorded in January. That updated January reading reflected an adjustment from an initial estimate of a 0.8% decline.
The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged at its two-day meeting that concludes Wednesday, and Fed observers will watch for any clues about the timing of eventual rate cuts this year. Based on Fed funds futures trading, most investors expect the Fed’s pivot to rate-cutting mode is likely to begin in either June or July.
Source: John Hancock Investment Management
|