It is difficult to predict who will have Barrett’s esophagus (BE) recurrence after endoscopic eradication therapy (EET). The authors of this study developed a scoring system (RECUR) using histologic reflux changes on surveillance biopsies after EET to predict who would have BE recurrence. They found that a mean RECUR score of 5.5 predicted AET% >4% and in a validation cohort, the RECUR score was the only significant predictor of recurrence (OR 1.36, CI 1.10-1.69, p =0.005).

Anastomotic leak (AL) is a severe complication after esophagectomy, but a tool to predict mortality after AL is lacking. Using a cohort from the TENTACLE-Esophagus study, sixteen predictors in the broad categories of demographics, clinical parameters at time of diagnosis and leak characteristics were used to develop a prediction model in this study and showed a good performance with a c-index of 0.79 (95% CI 0.75-0.83).

The prediction model was incorporated in an online tool for individual use and can be found here.