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The National Weather Service reports a significant likelihood of scattered to numerous thunderstorms starting this afternoon and continuing into early tonight. Among these, some storms are expected to be severe, with the potential for baseball-sized hail, wind gusts reaching 75 mph, and a few tornadoes.
Key Details:
- Timing: The storms will begin this afternoon and may last until early Sunday morning.
- Location: The heaviest impact is anticipated along and southeast of the Kansas Turnpike.
- Severity: Some storms could reach severe levels, with a risk of significant damage due to hail, high winds, and tornadoes.
Weather Outlook:
- Rainfall and Flooding: Localized heavy rainfall is expected, particularly in areas along and southeast of the Kansas Turnpike, which may lead to street and low-land flooding, and potentially river flooding. Predicted rainfall amounts could range from 2 to 4 inches, with the most intense downpours likely occurring during the evening through to the overnight hours.
Confidence Levels:
- Storm Formation and Severity: Medium confidence exists on where the strongest storms will form, possibly in several rounds, which could limit the potential for the most severe weather. However, there remains a chance for a few "higher-end" severe storms.
- Rainfall Amounts: There is medium to high confidence that significant rainfall will occur, especially in the specified regions, with the most widespread rainfall expected in the evening and overnight.
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