The Market Pulse survey for Q4 2023 revealed a transitional year for deal-making, with mixed outcomes. Advisors closed a similar number of deals as last year, despite fielding an uptick in buyer interest via nondisclosure agreements (NDAs) and letters of intent (LOIs).
Cautious optimism exists for 2024, with advisors expecting a slight increase in M&A activity if interest rates and inflation drop. But after a year of tight lending conditions—which 75% of advisors described as “more restrictive”—access to capital is still an ongoing concern.
While we didn’t see a big shift in Main Street valuations, market confidence remained low in this sector. Sellers received less cash at close, meaning they had to rely on additional seller financing or alternative deal structures.
And while sellers in the lower middle market benefited from a relative rebound in valuations, there too we saw an increase in earnouts and retained equity as tools to bridge the valuation gap.
|