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Gordon T Long Research exclusively located at MATASII.com


RESEARCH MAILING CONTROLCHANGES / SIGNUP

All questions should be directed to the lcmgroupe2@comcast.net


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CHARTS ON MY DESKTOP THIS WEEK

Week of 11-26-23 - Update 11-29-23

Keep These Charts Refreshed This Week!

NOTE: If there is a reversal in the Daily MATASII CROSS (MC) for any of the graphics below it will be changed and a notification sent. All chart links are real time without the MC (if shown below) and should be kept live for updated annotations.


YOUR MASTER LIST OF GORDON T LONG ACTIVELY MONITORED LIVE CHARTS - FOUND ON SITE HERE

Gords-DeskTop-11-29-23-Sentiment-Prime-Book-TMT image

TRADING SENTIMENT


The unwind in tech exposure is continuing and within Goldman's HF serving Prime Brokerage, TMT stocks now make up 30.2% of total US Single Stock net exposure (vs. a YTD high in late Oct of 35.9%), which is in the 36th percentile vs. the past year and in the 16th percentile vs. the past five years.


In other words, as the chart to the right indicates, we are once again in the distribution phase where the smart/fast money is selling to retail investors and, of course, companies themselves.


CHART BELOW

The CTAs are now excessively positioned LONG. They may have over reacted to the recent rally with $70B in repositioning?

Gords-DeskTop-11-29-23-Sentiment-CTA-Positioniing image
Gords-DeskTop-11-29-23-Gold-v-Real-Rates-1 image

PRECIOUS METALS MARKET


There is little doubt that the recent surge in Precious Metals has a fair bit to do with a weakening US Dollar (chart right).


However, the decoupling between real-yields and gold prices suggests precious metals is very much in play (chart below). (Note: real rates are plotted inverse to gold as gold falls as real rates rise).

Gords-DeskTop-11-29-23-Gold-v-Real-Rates image
Gords-DeskTop-11-29-23-Real-Rates image





... and there may be more to go if real rates keep falling




GOLD


It is likely there that Gold will push towards the upper trend line shown below.


It is unusual for a security to make a Quadruple Top without breaking through - even if only in a minor way.


What may be more important it signals a complete of a classic "Cup and Handle" pattern which is extremely BULLISH!



Gords-DeskTop-11-29-23-Gold-Daily image

YOUR DESK TOP / TABLET / PHONE ANNOTATED CHART

Macro Analytics Chart Above:  SUBSCRIBER LINK

Gords-DeskTop-11-29-23-Gold-Daily-3-Sigma-Level image

YOUR DESK TOP / TABLET / PHONE ANNOTATED CHART

Macro Analytics Chart Above:  SUBSCRIBER LINK


Gords-DeskTop-11-29-23-Silver-Continuation-Triangle image

SILVER


Silver has started to outperform very recently.


Silver also appears to be ready to break out of a Continuation Triangle as well as breaking above its downtrend relative to gold.


CHART BELOW


Silver on a long term basis appears to be potentially ready for a significant breakout.

Gords-DeskTop-11-29-23-Silver-Monthly image

YOUR DESK TOP / TABLET / PHONE ANNOTATED CHART

Macro Analytics Chart Above:  SUBSCRIBER LINK

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