2023 hurricane season forecasts include fourteen named storms
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Climate Action Center CEO Bob Bunting forecasts seven hurricanes, two or three of which as a Category 3 or higher, more evenly distributed throughout the hurricane season.
As hurricane season creeps up on the area, the Climate Adaptation Center has a forecast of what kinds of storms may be headed this way.
The organization hosted a Zoom conference April 4 to give viewers an idea of what they can expect from this season. Climate Adaptation Center CEO Bob Bunting gave the presentation and his forecast for the 2023 hurricane season.
“This year we have an improving situation from a hurricane standpoint,” he said. The beginning of the season could be tumultuous becoming more favorable toward peak season.
Components of Bunting’s forecast included:
- The season’s storms could be similar to those in 2022 but more evenly distributed. Last year, there were about two months without storms.
- He predicts there will be 14 named storms.
- Seven of those he says will be hurricanes.
- Of the hurricanes, Bunting predicts either two or three of those to be major hurricanes, meaning a Category 3 or higher.
Early May is when Bunting says the area can start to see an increase in storms. Peak season is expected for early September.
“Between the 10th and 30th of October is a very serious time here in Sarasota,” he said. “Don’t be fooled that once we pass the peak, we’re out of the woods, our worst times this year could be very early in the season and then in October again.”
In November 2021, Bunting predicted a hurricane of Ian’s size and level of destruction.
“Florida was setting itself up for a major hurricane strike,” he said.
When developing an early season forecast, Bunting examines a number of factors including sea surface temperatures, whether conditions are La Nina or El Nino and the Madden-Julian Oscillation once the season kicks off. The Madden-Julian Oscillation is an eastward moving disturbance of clouds, rainfall, winds and pressure that traverses the planet in the tropics and returns to its initial starting point in 30 to 60 days, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association. more
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This Week in Water History |
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Conditions of Small Water Purification Plants in Illinois |
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April 10, 1913 Engineering News article. Conditions of Small Water Purification Plants in Illinois. By Ralph Hilscher. “In Illinois there are about a dozen water purification plants with rated capacities of about 2,000,000 gal. per day, or less, which involve the use of coagulants, settling basins and filters. Of these, with possibly two or three exceptions, it can be said that none produce an effluent that attains at all times the standard of purity that any municipality should demand for Its public water-supply. Some of these plants yield an effluent during the major part of the time, which is of quite satisfactory quality, but fall far short of successful operation during periods of excessive turbidity and color in the raw water. Others produce an effluent at no time that is of good appearance and satisfactory from a hygienic standpoint.
The poor results realized are due largely to certain faults in design and operation, which are more or less common to these small installations. Many of the plants are of obsolete design and in practically all the plants, too great economy was attempted in building and certain essential features were omitted. The operation has usually been deficient due to lack of experience and expert advice In such matters. Certain faults largely responsible for the short-comings of these plants will be discussed [in the larger article].
Reference: Hilscher, Ralph. 1913. “Conditions of Small Water Purification Plants in Illinois.” Engineering News article 69:15(April 10, 1913): 707.
Commentary: Like today, there were problems with small water systems throughout the U.S. The image of the double-plunger angle blowoff valve has nothing to do with the article about small water treatment plants. It was just a cool drawing in the same issue of Engineering News.
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