A New Phase in the
Armenian-Azerbaijani Conflict?
From the Karabakh Conflict to the Escalation
at the Azerbaijani-Armenian Border
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Monday, November 7, 2022
11:00 a.m. - 12:00 p.m. (EDT)
Virtual Event
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In the wake of Russia’s aggression on Ukraine, other conflicts in Eurasia have been generally neglected by analysts and the wide public. Starting on September 12, 2022, we are witnessing new dramatic and bloody events on the Armenia-Azerbaijani border. Both sides blame each other for the beginning of the confrontation. The Armenian Defense Ministry stated that the cities of Vardenis, Goris, Sotk, and Jermuk had been under attack with artillery and heavy weaponry, from the Azerbaijani side. In its turn, the Azerbaijani Defense Ministry reported that they were taking measures to "suppress the firing points of the Armenian armed forces and to prevent the expansion of the scale of the confrontation”. Apparently, this bloodiest conflict since the 2020 Second Karabakh war cost the lives of nearly 300 people by the middle of September only. And as of today, the number of killed exceeded 1,000 people: both military and civilians. Meanwhile, starting on October 12, 2022, France's President Emmanuel Macron repeatedly accused Russia of purposefully provoking the recent clashes between Armenia and Azerbaijan as part of an effort to destabilize the South Caucasus region and beyond. And, for the first time in post-Soviet history, the EU mission arrived to monitor the situation on the border between the two countries. And despite President Ilham Alive’s protests, the OCSE mission also arrived in the area on October 21 and already interviewed residents of the Syunik province.
What exactly is going on in this volatile region of the South Caucasus? Who is responsible for triggering the new violent conflict? Who is to blame? Can Russia still play an impartial role in the region after the invasion of Ukraine? What should be the role of the EU and the US? What is the role of Iran? What role does Turkey play in this new escalation on the border?
Speakers:
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Ahmad Alili is a researcher in international public policy and regional security of the South Caucasus, EaP countries, and neighboring regional powers. He is part of several peacebuilding initiatives supported by the EU, UN, and PfP consortium. Currently, he is the director of the Caucasus Policy Analysis Centre (CPAC), a Baku-based independent think-tank intending to achieve regional integration of the South Caucasus. Also, Mr. Alili is a lecturer at the Academy of Public Administration on the role of non-state actors in regional security, geopolitics, public management, and good governance.
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Alexander Iskenderian is a prominent expert on politics, nationalism, and the contemporary history of Armenia, the south Caucasus, and Eurasia. He is a political scientist and the Director of the Caucasus Institute in Yerevan, Armenia. He authored of numerous works on these topics, presented papers, and has talked at numerous conferences.
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Mikail Mamedov holds his Ph.D. in History from Georgetown University where he is also a Lecturer in History and the Liberal Studies Program of the School of Continuing Studies and the same Department. His multiethnic Azeri-Armenian family arrived in the US back in 1996, in the wake of the Karabakh conflict. He holds his MA from George Washington University and his Diploma in History from Moscow Lomonosov State University. He authored numerous articles on the History of the Caucasus and on contemporary literature and the Karabakh conflict.
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Marlene Laruelle is Director of the Institute for European, Russian, and Eurasian Studies; Director of the Central Asia Program; Director of the Illiberalism Studies Program; Co-Director of PONARS Eurasia; and Research Professor of International Affairs at The George Washington University. She works on political, social, and cultural changes in the post-Soviet space. Marlene's research explores the transformations of nationalist and conservative ideologies in Russia, nationhood construction in Central Asia, as well as the development of Russia's Arctic regions.
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This event is on the record and open to the media. |
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The Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES)
Elliott School of International Affairs, George Washington University
1957 E Street, NW / Suite 412 / Washington, DC 20052
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