Premium Weekly FX Review
14 Sept -2020 | 12:45 PST |
One Month vs. Three Month Yen Calendar
At Expiration Spot Yen on Oct 14th was 105.33
The 105 Yen call expired out-of-the-money
We paid 102 tics to buy back the two month 105 Short yen call
Net loss in JPY tics was 51- 102 = 51 Yen tics

In this case we have to assume the worse case scenario was the spot expiring at 105 even. In which case the cost of buying back the two month 105 would have been closer to 118 tics. So the loss in terms of Capital-at-Risk in this case is 51/118 = 43%
As we mentioned in our weekly commentary this trade is one that is worth consideration.
Spot Ref 105.70
Buy One month Yen 105 Call (USD Put) Expiration 2020-10-14 at 49 Yen tics 2X =98 Tics
Sell Three Month Yen 105 Call (USD Put) Expiration 2020-12-91 at 149 tics
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Net Net Receive 51 Yen Tics
This trade has to be unwound at or prior to the expiration of the one month option.

Delta of 1M Yen call 36 X 2 = 72
Delta of 3M Yen call 44 X1 = 44
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Net delta on Trade date = 28 (long Yen)
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James Rider
Research Director
skype: jamesrider1
Suite 439 - 1231 Pacific Blvd,
Vancouver, BC V6Z 0E2 Canada
James Rider | 604-685-4414