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PDF | Research | Week of June 19, 2023

Quote of the Week

“We’re not at a point of easing yet. We won’t be for a while.”

– Eddie Vataru, chief investment officer, total return, Osterweis Capital Management.

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Welcome to Fitch Ratings, our new content provider offering insightful market commentary on middle market and private credit.

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A Loan for All Seasons

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A Loan for All Seasons (Second of a Series)

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A frequent question from investors and others is, “When is a good time to invest in private credit?” What they mean is, “Is now a good time to invest in private credit?”


Readers of this column know one of our consistent themes is private credit is not a timing thing. On a panel at the US Private Credit conference last week, we were asked a version of that question by the moderator. Shifting into full metaphor mode, we replied “You don’t buy and sell car insurance every time you move your car in and out of your garage.”


The question is by no means simplistic. We watched an interview in which the CEO of a large global asset manager was asked whether he was “still as focused on private credit as you were several years ago.” This particular firm also owns a significant direct lender...

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2023 Market Sizing & Impact Study

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Learn why secured finance is the Industry you should be following. (View report summary)

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Chart of the Week

No Steady State

Since Covid the direct to syndicated deal volume ratio has swung to privates.

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Source: Refinitiv LPC

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Stat of the Week

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Loan Stats at a Glance 

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Contact: Marina Lukatsky / S&P Global Market Intelligence

PDI Picks

Changes from a decade of fundraising

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In the June issue of Private Debt Investor, in which we celebrated its tenth anniversary, we reflected on key trends in fundraising over that period by an examination of our PDI 100 ranking of top fundraisers. Below are four of our observations...

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis

BDC portfolio marks expected

to move moderately lower

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BDC portfolio companies are being closely monitored to gauge stress as a result of the higher interest rate environment, the degree of pressure on margins and declining interest coverage ratios for over-levered borrowers...

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Contact: CJ Doherty/ Refinitiv LPC

The Pulse of Private Equity

A decent start in the middle market

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The middle market got off to a decent start in 2023, though quarterly activity has mostly stalled since the 2021 boom. PitchBook’s just-released US PE Middle Market Report registered $107 billion in Q1 investments...

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Contact: Alex Lykken / PitchBook

DL Deals: News & Analysis

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Year-to-Date Default Volume, Count

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Contact: Kelly Thompson / KBRA DLD

Middle Market & Private Credit

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Defaults in Fitch’s Private MM

Portfolio Tick Higher

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Following a sharp increase in 2020 and 2021 due to the pandemic, defaults were largely subdued in 2022 in Fitch’s private middle market portfolio, though have since accelerated, according to a Fitch Ratings report.

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Contact: Brad Hamner / FitchRatings

Covenant Trends 

Average Total Deleveraging

Required To Meet RP Ratio Test

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Contact: Steven Miller / Covenant Review

High-Yield Bond Statistics

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Weekly fund flows source: Lipper
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Private Debt Intelligence

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APAC private debt AUM sees steady growth

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APAC’s private debt market, though smaller than North America’s, shouldn’t be overlooked. Assets under management (AUM) have grown steadily, exceeding previous projections, according to the...

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Contact: Jayda Etienne / Preqin

Debtwire Middle-Market

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Buyout issuance shifts to high yield bonds

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Source: Debtwire Par

Buyout financing diverges between markets


Leveraged issuers tapping public syndication for leveraged buyouts have turned to the high yield bond market in recent months...

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Contact: Ben Watson / Debtwire 

Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

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Contact: Stefan Shaffer / SPP Capital Partners

Select Deals in the Market

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This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.