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PDF | Research | Week of August 14, 2023

Quote of the Week

“This is the summer. Volumes are low and people are nervous because markets have had a great run.” – Patrick Spencer, vice-chairman, equities, Baird.

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A Word About Bonds

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”The bond market is the most important market in the world. It is the backbone of all other markets.” – Ray Dalio, founder, Bridgewater.


A recent Financial Time piece on bonds [link] reminded us of their long, proud history as well as their critical importance to the proper functioning of today’s global markets. The article points out that while banks have faded in importance as holders of capital, bonds – led by US Treasurys – are major components of the world’s financial system.


Size-wise, the total bond market at $133 trillion (per BIS) is smaller than the $181 trillion global banks represent, according to the Financial Stability Board. But as part of the “shadow banking” system, it is having an impact on how policy makers view regulation...


✎ From the Editor: The Lead Left will be on its annual August break and will return the week of Sept 4.

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Chart of the Week

High Grade Problem

Investment grade bond issuers are paying more, but activity remains strong.

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Source: SIFMA

(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

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Stat of the Week

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Loan Stats at a Glance 

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Contact: Marina Lukatsky / S&P Global Market Intelligence

PDI Picks

Infrastructure seeks to weather the storm

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When the economy turns, infrastructure investment has often been seen as a safe harbour from tailwinds affecting other parts of the market...

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis

BDC assets under management top US$290bn

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BDC assets under management continued to climb in 2Q23 and now top US$290bn. This represents a 3.8% gain from the prior quarter...

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Contact: CJ Doherty/ Refinitiv LPC

The Pulse of Private Equity

Are PE valuations normalizing – finally?

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Although not directly comparable, contextualizing PE dealmaking metrics to broader market figures is instructive...

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Contact: Garrett Black / PitchBook

DL Deals: News & Analysis

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Year-to-Date Default Volume, Count

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Contact: Eric Rosenthal / KBRA DLD

Middle Market & Private Credit

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Fitch’s Private Middle Market Portfolio,

Rating Activity

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Upgrades/downgrades within Fitch’s private MM portfolio are generally skewed toward downgrades, as issuer ratings can be constrained on the upside based on limited scale...

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Contact: Brad Hamner / FitchRatings

Covenant Trends 

Synergies & Cost Savings EBITDA Addbacks

(Capped vs. Uncapped vs. None Allowed)

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Contact: Steven Miller / Covenant Review

High-Yield Bond Statistics

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Weekly fund flows source: Lipper
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Private Debt Intelligence

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Private debt fundraising rebounds in Q2 2023

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After weak figures in the first quarter of 2023, private debt fundraising has rebounded to levels more closely resembling the long-term trend...

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Contact: Jayda Etienne / Preqin

Debtwire Middle-Market

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Derisking remains key focus

for loan issuers and investors alike

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Source: Debtwire

There has been a striking 70% year-on-year decrease in new money institutional activity in the loan market following a continued lack of supply from M&A auctions processes...

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Contact: Ben Watson / Debtwire 

Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

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Contact: Stefan Shaffer / SPP Capital Partners

Select Deals in the Market

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This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.