US electric demand to increase by 2.7 percent this summer, driven by data centers and economic growth
US electric demand is projected to rise by 2.7 percent this summer, reaching 1,487 terawatt-hours (TWh), according to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission’s (FERC) annual summer energy market and reliability report. This increase is attributed to warmer weather, economic growth, and the expansion of data centers. Data center load is expected to grow to nearly 21 gigawatts (GW) this year, up from 19 GW in 2023. It is anticipated to reach 35 GW by the end of the decade.
Despite the rise in power demand, wholesale electricity prices are expected to remain stable or lower than last year outside of New England. Natural gas prices, a significant factor in power pricing, are forecast to be lower this summer. The Henry Hub futures contract price for this summer is averaging $2.25 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), a 9 percent decrease from last summer.
Total US summer capacity is expected to increase by 3.4 percent to 1,207 GW, with significant growth in battery storage capacity, projected to rise by 12.2 GW from last year. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicts a hotter-than-normal summer for most of the US, particularly in the Northeast and interior West, with a one-in-three chance of setting a global heat record.
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