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PDF | Research |Week of Mar 14, 2022
Quote of the Week
“The market’s on increasingly shaky ground”
– Hans Olsen, chief investment officer, Fiduciary Trust.
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Capital Markets Outlook:
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The Market Now
(First of a Series)
It was almost a clean getaway.

Two years almost to the day since it emerged, Covid was crumbling. The combination of vaccinations (77% of Americans with at least one shot) and infection immunity was finally having an effect. Hawaii became the last state to announce an end to indoor masking.

Across the nation school children are finally seeing each other’s faces. Most businesses are instituting some form of back-to-the-office procedures. And business travel is picking up.

Inflation was certainly on the rise, but the Fed pivoted in November to a decidedly hawkish stance with rate hikes scheduled to begin with their meeting this week. The economy remained in a growth mode across many industries, and job statistics continued on a buoyant path...
2022 Capital Market Outlook 
“See the cov-lite, inflation, interest rates and unitranche charts in our newly published 2022 Capital Markets Outlook report.”
Chart of the Week
Stepping on the Gas
Dropping for decades, energy’s share of the consumer wallet appears to be lifting.
Source: Nuveen, BEA, Bloomberg
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Stat of the Week
Loan Stats at a Glance 
PDI Picks
Why large-scale distress may be back in fashion
For big distressed debt funds, identifying sufficient dealflow has been a challenge. But do such investors now have a ‘perfect storm’?
Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis
How big of a unitranche could we see this year?
The “mega-unitranche” reached new scale in 2021, as private lenders’ capacity to finance large transactions continued to increase. Unitranche loan issuance exploded to US$151bn in 2021, from US$41.5bn the prior year...
Missed Refinitiv LPC's Middle Market Spring 2022 Conference?
Click the link to watch on demand!
The Pulse of Private Equity
A big year for the middle market
Like the broader PE landscape, the US middle market was well into record territory in 2021. According to PitchBook’s just-released 2021 Annual Middle Market Report, more than 4,000 deals were struck for the first time. It was also the first time deal flow eclipsed 3,000 deals, for that matter...
Contact: Alex Lykken / PitchBook
Covenant Trends 
Percentage of New Issue First Lien Loans
that Cleared with a J. Crew Trapdoor
High-Yield Bond Statistics
Weekly fund flows source: Lipper
Private Debt Intelligence
Private debt firms behind the curve on D&I
Just 11% of private debt fund managers (251 out of 2,225) have public diversity and inclusion (D&I) policies or initiatives in place, according to Preqin Pro...
Debtwire Middle-Market
Contact: Hema Oza/Debtwire 
March Update: Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance
Select Deals in the Market
This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.