Market Digest          
8.8.18          
OBSERVATIONS
Client Interests Come First? Not Likely.
Wire-houses and banks continue in their never-ending attempt to boost profits. Morgan Stanley now is enticing their brokers to change how they operate by adjusting their compensation plan. By next April, Morgan Stanley brokers will be able to keep more of the money they generate for the firm by using new technology and hitting certain client acquisition targets. And, they can earn even more if they're able to convince clients to take on more debt and do more of their banking at Morgan Stanley. 

The firm's retail lending portfolio, comprised largely of mortgages and portfolio-backed loans, has tripled in the past five years as Morgan Stanley sought to catch up with rivals such as Merrill Lynch, UBS Wealth Americas and Wells Fargo Advisors that are owned by banking giants. As part of its push to encourage more lending, the firm is near-doubling the reward for advisers who bring in more client debt. Executives said changes to Morgan Stanley's lending-growth award program would allow advisers to earn significantly more than in past years.

Since wealth lending has become more prominent on Wall Street, some are expressing concerns about risk. Will wealth managers overdo it, pitching risky debt onto unsuspecting clients who then get financially over their skis? Last year,  Morgan Stanley paid a $1 million fine to resolve a Massachusetts investigation into alleged high pressure sales contests to originate wealth loans. And with real estate, stocks, 20th century art, and other valuable assets at record prices, it's possible that a market pullback would effectively put a margin call on wealthy clients. 

Household Debt Levels
With household debt levels reaching new highs, encouraging clients to add to their debt balances might not be good for anyone - other than the broker or their firm. The Center for Microeconomic Data's latest report on household debt revealed that debt reached a new peak in the first quarter of 2018. 

Total Household Debt as of Q118

According to the report, aggregate household debt balances increased in the first quarter of 2018, for the fifteenth consecutive quarter, and are now $526 billion higher than the previous peak of $12.68 trillion (in the third quarter of 2008). As of March 31, 2018, total household indebtedness was $13.21 trillion, a $63 billion increase from the prior quarter. Overall household debt is now 18.5% above the low in the second quarter of 2013.

Debt in and of itself isn't a bad thing; it greases the wheels of the economy by allowing individuals to make big investments today - like buying a house or going to college - by pledging some of their future earnings.  But as debt levels rise, the household sector will be more sensitive to interest rates, and consumer spending - which accounts for two-thirds of GDP - becomes more sensitive to future income expectations. 

Carrots and Sticks
Brokerage firms are employing both positive and negative incentive techniques to drive results. Morgan Stanley  advisers who bring in clients with less than $250,000 in assets stand to face penalties if those clients don't use the technologies and services Morgan Stanley is pushing. And, at Merrill Lynch, advisers who miss minimum goals are punished with a pay cut of up to 2 percentage points.

By now, reports that brokerage firms and banks incentivize their employees to push certain products or services that will benefit the firm, should not come as a surprise to our Market Digest readers. We have opined in this forum previously that these firms are not Fiduciaries for their clients. They are held to the "suitability" standard which does not require advice to be in the client's best interest. As a reminder, Registered Investment Advisors like New Market Wealth, are required by law, to act as a Fiduciary and put their clients' interest first. This includes often necessary advice around incurring debt. The sales tactics deployed at many of these banks and wire-houses are once again reminders that when seeking investment counsel it's vital to (1) get a sound explanation of why they're recommending certain products or services and (2) ask for full transparency on fees and adviser compensation. 
MARKET UPDATE
With Apple leading the tech sector out of a brief slump, US equity benchmarks were generally positive last week. Thanks to a strong earnings report, Apple became the first company to reach a $1 trillion market cap after its stock rallied another 8%. Economic data was also supportive with unemployment ticking down to 3.9% and the Federal Reserve choosing to keep the fed funds target rate between 1.75-2.00%. 

Equity Index Returns through 080318
Source: Yahoo Finance
ECONOMIC NEWS
> Employment Data:  The July jobs report released last Friday, was a continuation of labor market tightening we've seen as the economic cycle has matured. Although the July number missed expectations, payroll growth remains strong, especially in the context of upwardly revised May and June numbers. Slowing job growth is expected in this stage of the economic cycle, with the economy near what is considered full employment. Late-summer job growth is also seasonally weaker as temporary summer jobs are terminated.

Non Farm Payrolls July 2018

> AAPL:   Apple became the first publicly traded American company to be worth $1 trillion after strong quarterly earnings boosted the company's market cap above the unprecedented mark. The milestone was fueled by the runaway success of products like the iPhone, iPad and iPod. But along the way, the company bought back billions of dollars of its own shares, accelerating the stock's rise.
Apple Stock Crosses _1 Trillion Mark

Apple shares this year alone is up 19% and hit $209/share on Monday.

Apple Share Price Year to Date

THE WATERCOOLER
Got an Extra Million?
If you're a movie buff with some extra cash, come September, you could become the proud owner of the jacket worn by Harrison Ford in the Empire Strikes Back. 

Jacket worn by Han Solo in Star Wars

The Han Solo jacket will be part of an  upcoming sale  of rare film and TV memorabilia and is expected to fetch the highest price at $1 million. Other auction items include the robe that Tyler Durden (Brad Pitt) wore in "Fight Club," Rose's (Kate Winslet) farewell letter from "Titanic," Marty McFly's (Michael J. Fox) hoverboard from "Back to the Future II," and the costume worm by Johnny Depp in "Edward Scissorhands." 

The sale will be held by Prop Store at London's BFI IMAX on Sept. 20, 2018. It is expected to generate over $4.6 million and will be live-streamed. 
NEW MARKETS. NEW ADVICE.
New Market Wealth Management offers modern investment solutions backed by extensive research and experience serving the needs of wealthy families. Through our strategic partnership with Cliffwater LLC , we have access to institutional-quality research, investment due diligence and asset allocation tools. We believe this level of experience and unique access to in-depth, sophisticated research are essential for success in today's complex world markets.

New Market Wealth Management
(657) 900-1899