See what's happening this quarter in the MAPP community!
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This Issue:
Program Updates
NOAA Celebrates Women's History Month
Research Highlights
Task Force Updates
Events
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Farewell, Emily Read
MAPP will dearly miss Emily Read, who left NOAA in March to head back to California and work for California State Parks via a California Sea Grant Fellowship. Emily was a dedicated, highly organized, sharp, energetic, and always affable member of the MAPP team and we will certainly miss her and her sunny California personality. We wish her the best in the next step in her career.
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Courtney will be taking over for Emily Read as the MAPP team's Program Assistant. Courtney is earning her Master's degree in Environmental Geoscience from Mississippi State University and acquired her Bachelor’s in Operational Meteorology from Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University. Courtney has conducted research on sea-breeze influence on tornadogenesis in the mesoscale boundary layer and has a passion for all areas of meteorology. She is originally from West Palm Beach, FL and enjoys writing, traveling, and photography. We are very excited to have her onboard!
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Welcome Amara Huddleston!
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Please welcome our new Knauss Fellow, Amara Huddleston! Amara will be joining the MAPP team as a Communications and Program Analyst, and also engage more broadly in ESSM communications. Amara earned her Master's degree in Aquatic Ecology from Ohio State University last year with research focusing on how climate change affects Lake Erie's food web. She is originally from Detroit, MI and enjoys visiting museums, doing yoga, and cooking.
We are very excited to have her on-board for the next year!
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FY2020 FFO Diversity & Inclusion Statement
NOAA is committed to improving Diversity & Inclusion and has recently taken steps to address the identified lack of diversity in its workforce. CPO wants to support NOAA's commitment to Diversity & Inclusion as part of their scientific projects. CPO recognizes that grant awards largely support the training of the next generation of scientists such as postdoctoral researchers and graduate students. Thus, we have made the effort to consider Diversity & Inclusion at the proposal stage.
CPO requires that PIs include a Statement of Diversity & Inclusion in their proposals which should address how well the proposed activity broadens the participation of underrepresented groups (e.g., gender, ethnicity, disability, geographic, etc.). This section is discussed during the second panel review when relevance of the project to the particular program is discussed.
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NOAA Celebrates Women's History Month!
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Throughout the month of March NOAA's Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR) Office highlighted women of NOAA; an effort spearheaded by the Ocean, Observing, and Monitoring Division (OOMD). There was a 2-day panel held for International Women's Day and several more women were recognized through highlights on NOAA Research's website. Researchers funded by MAPP, like Antonietta Capotondi (left), were included in these highlights.
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Bridging the Weather-to-Climate Prediction Gap
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An EOS project update on the MAPP S2S Prediction Task Force has been published. A task force of researchers set out to bridge the gap between the 2-week weather forecast and long-term climate predictions; their findings could help in forecasting the likelihood of extreme events.
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Climate science creates new avenues for health research
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Climate science is creating new avenues for epidemiological contributions. Climate change is expected to exacerbate the effects of extreme temperature, heat waves, wildfires, droughts, and floods which are expected to put human health at risk. Climate epidemiology is an important field that serves to explore the intersection of climate change and public health. The focus is on understanding, planning for, and preventing the health impacts of climate change and leveraging integrated collaborations between epidemiologists and climate scientists to understand the current and potential future impacts of climate-related exposures on human health. In a new American Journal of Epidemiology paper, Anderson and colleagues, including MAPP-funded PI Elizabeth Barnes, discuss a variety of recent and ongoing developments in climate science that are creating new avenues for epidemiological contributions. The paper outlines three developing areas of climate science that are creating opportunities for high-impact epidemiological advances in the near future: 1) climate attribution studies, 2) subseasonal to seasonal forecasts, and 3) decadal predictions.
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The Soil Remembers More Than We Expect and Impacts Extremes
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Understanding the timescale of reemergence of soil moisture anomalies and being able to predict when reemergence will occur has important implications for the occurrence of extremes like droughts and flooding. This knowledge will be especially beneficial for
farmers, water and energy managers, among others, to make more informed decisions about natural resource planning. Kumar and colleagues, have found that soil moisture anomalies, found in the root zone (about a foot below the surface) can recur several or more seasons after being established. Such soil moisture that is wetter or drier than normal is stored beneath that zone and remembered for several months to over a year. After several seasons these stored memories reemerge to the surface and a previous condition of the root zone is restored.
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Could Human-Made Emissions Produce Stronger Hurricanes?
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As the amount of greenhouse gas emissions in our atmosphere continue to increase, scientists have noted not only an increase in atmospheric temperatures but an increase in sea surface temperatures as well. It is well known that sea surface temperature is one of the primary drivers of hurricanes. Assumably, if the strength of a hurricane closely correlates with sea surface temperatures, then warmer temperatures will produce stronger hurricanes. In a new Geophysical Research Letters article, Trenary and MAPP-funded PIs Timothy DelSole, Suzana Camargo, and Michael Tippett, analyzed eleven climate models to observe if hurricane intensity increased from human-related emissions between 1958-2005. Of the eleven models analyzed, it was found that seven models predicted a change in hurricane intensity
in response to greenhouse gas and aerosol emissions. However, the results from the models were inconsistent with one another, with one predicting a decreased trend in hurricane potential intensity and two predicting an increased trend in hurricane potential intensity. These findings indicate that the changes to hurricane intensities cannot be attributed to human-related activities.
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Want to see your research highlighted here?
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MAPP PIs,
If you'd like to see your research highlighted in our newsletter use
this form
to let us know about papers supported through your MAPP award. A 2+ week notice in advance of publication is most useful.
Remember to include the following statement in your MAPP supported paper: "This study was supported by NOAA's Climate Program Office's Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections program through grant # (if applicable).
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The MPTF is now being led by Antonietta Capotondi, who is taking over for Mark Merrifield, who led the group for the first half of its term. The Task Force is focused on a potential case study framework to test some of the capabilities that have been developed by the constituent research teams.
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The Drought Task Force 3 (DTF3) leadership team is writing a paper on drought indicators using a case study framework pioneered by the DTF1.
An AMS special collection is being organized with over a dozen papers targeting various AMS journals.
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The MDTF is transitioning leadership of the software development to GFDL from NCAR and working to begin importing new diagnostics into the package in the MDTF2 era. There was a lot of interest at the CMIP6 meeting in Barcelona on the package and conversations are ongoing with diagnostic partners about collaboration.
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The Task Force will continue for a 4th year given that many projects will enter a no-cost extension period and it will still be beneficial for investigators to communicate and coordinate. The group will draft a report of activities before it sunsets. The S2S Special Collection in JGR has been extended to June 30, 2019.
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US Climate Modeling Summit Brought Top Climate Modeling Centers Together for the 5th Year
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The 5th US Climate Modeling Summit was held last week, April 3-4th, at the Science, Systems, and Applications, Inc. (SSAI) Headquarters in Lanham, MD. Leaders from the top climate modeling centers (DoE, NCAR, NASA GMAO, NASA GISS, NOAA-NWS, and NOAA-GFDL) and program managers gathered to discuss recent modeling advances. This year, the workshop focused on modes of variability (MJO, ENSO, QBO, PDO, etc) in current climate models. A resounding theme of the workshop was the improvements made to the representation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) index in models.The second day involved high-level discussions among representatives from the modeling centers and from sponsoring agencies to improve coordination among the groups. There were a wide variety of topics covered: applying artificial intelligence in climate models, working on model diagnostics across the centers, early results from phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, NOAA-NCAR collaboration via the memorandum of agreement, geoengineering work by the National Academies and in NOAA, next-generation computing issues.
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Amara Huddleston, NOAA CPO Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections
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