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WeChat account ID is:
8020ef. Please scan our QR code,
shown below, & on 80-20 EF's WeChat site. For a Chinese
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My apologies to all
f
or sending you an e-newsletter
yesterday that is hard to understand. Here is an easier version to understand. Increase your political sophistication today!
Great News! 80-20, under S. B. Woo, will possess great political clout.
Recall that 80-20 EF sent out a poll last Monday to have a peek at how AsAms will likely vote in 2020.
Congratulations, AsAms! Our political maturity has improved by leaps & bounds over the 20 years of 80-20's existence. Here is the fantastic poll result.
The poll showed that we can, for the first time in history, deliver
a SWING bloc vote. That reality, in the hands of skillful & dedicated AsAm political leaders, will enable winning EQUAL opportunity for AsAms. The following is the poll result and its accompanying analysis:
3/11-14/2019 E-Mail Poll
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Q1:
registered as
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Republican
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Unaffiliated
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Democrat
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Not Regd
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Others*
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SUM
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64
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171
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143
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58
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2
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438
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Q2:
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If election
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were today,
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I'd vote
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for:
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Donald Trump
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25
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19
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1
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45
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A Democrat
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5
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43
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65
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113
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80-20 or S B Woo's Choice
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22
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73
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62
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157
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Not voting
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2
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2
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Don't know yet
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12
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37
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14
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63
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Q3:
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Confidence
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in S B Woo's
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leadership
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increased
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Over time
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Strongly agree
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34
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100
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96
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230
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Somewhat
agree
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12
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40
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28
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80
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neutral
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9
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24
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12
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45
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Somewhat disagree
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3
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5
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4
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12
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Strongly disagree
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2
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2
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2
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6
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Note: Some poll takers didn't give 3 answers; *Others: other affiliations e.g. the Green Party
Helping you to understand the above table
The first 2 rows deal with
Q1: how many of the poll participants are registered in each political affiliation. The next 6 rows deal with
Q2. The last 6 rows deal with
Q3.
The first column from the left tells you how the 64 Republican poll participants
will vote and whether they have increasing or decreasing confidence in S.B. Woo. To illustrate, of the 64 Rep. poll participants, 25 will vote for Trump; 5 for any Democrat,
and 22 will vote for whomsoever that S.B.'ll recommend. The remaining 12 are uncertain what they'll do today. Again, of the 64 persons, 34 strongly agree that Woo has earned their confidence , while 2 strongly disagree. The 3rd column deals with the 171
poll participants who are registered as Unaffiliated. .... The last column gives the sum of each row. Hopefully, you now understand the meaning of each number
in the above table.
It's not so hard. We can experience a leap in not only political maturity but also in political
sophistication.
Checking the Accuracy of our Poll
First we need to check the apparent accuracy of our poll. Nationally, the breakdown in affiliations of Rep/ Unaff/ Dem/ (other aff.) is,
according to Pew Research Center, 26%/33%/37%/4%. Our
poll showed that for AsAms
the distribution is
17%/45%/37%/1%. That is about right, since
AsAms always
have a much higher % in Unaffiliated compared to the nat'l average. So the apparent accuracy checks out. [To see why the % of registered Republicans is 17%, follow
this calculation: 64/(64+171+143+2)
= 64/380 = 16.8%]
Understand your OWN Rippling Political Muscle
From the above table, you should note that
1)
The % of AsAm voters who'll vote according to 80-20's
recommen
dation,
led by S. B. Woo, is a huge 158/380 =
41.3%
. This happens to be equal to the sum of voters making their own choices to vote D or R which is (45 +113)/
380
= 41.3%. Twenty yrs ago, can you imagine anyone saying I'll vote what 80-20 or S.B. Woo will recommend? Right now almost half the poll participants are saying that. AsAms are beginning to understand elections - politicians want our votes, we'll use our votes to trade for their support for our
equal opportunity!
2) 16.6% (63/380 = 0.166) of AsAm voters have NOT made up their minds on whom to support. They could be persuaded to follow 80-20's recommendation.
Hence, the total % of AsAm voters who may following 80-20 superPAC is in the range of 41.8% to (41.3% + 16.6%) =
57.9%
. Great.
3) If the election were today, any Democrat would win the AsAm vote by 113/45=
2.5 to 1 ratio.
HOWEVER,
(a) If EF, led by S. B. Woo, forms a Super PAC and endorses that Dem, then that Dem will win by a (113 +158)/45 = 271/45 = 6.0
i.e. a 6 to 1 ratio,
That'll be an huge bloc vote in the ratio of 86 to 14.
(b) If EF, led by S. B. Woo, forms a Super PAC
and endorses Trump, then Trump will win by a (45+158)/113 = 203/113 = 1.8
i.e. a 1.8 to 1 ratio. Note
that our endorsement, so far as AsAm votes go, will change Trump from a 1 to 2.5 loser to a 1.8 to 1 winner. That is what politicians value.
4)
If we aggressively assume that
57.9%
will follow our recommendation, the
numbers in a) and b) above will be even stronger.
In other words, in the general election of 2020, whoever wins our
SuperPAC's endorsement will win the AsAm vote! In many battleground states e.g. MI, WI & PA, our endorsement could mean whether it'll be R or D that will win those electoral college votes. We'll use that strength to win EQUAL opportunity in workplaces and college admissions for you
and your children.
5)
Q3's polling result strongly indicates AsAms' confidence in EF & S. B. Woo.
The (strong + somewhat agree) / (strongly + somewhat DISagree)
= (230+80)/ (12+6) = 310/18 = 17.22. It gives an incredible 17 to 1 ratio. We humbly thank you for your confidence.
Warning:
(1)
If and when S. B. Woo forms an 80-20
Super
PAC, it'll be an independent org. from the existing 80-20 PAC, which is led by others.
To know the performance of that PAC in the CA governor's race in 2006, click
here
and read the 5th paragraph.
(2) An even greater opportunity exists in the
CA Democratic Primary
than the
general election. Look for
a subsequent e-newsletter.
Our 20 years of hard work is paying off!
