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F
or years, the world has had more oil than it needs. That glut caused storage tanks to fill up to the point that crude turned negative in April.
So oil producers slashed supply. But now the pendulum in the boom-to-bust oil industry could swing too far in the opposite direction.
Malek, who has been bearish since 2013, pointed to the very large supply-demand deficit that's expected to emerge in 2022 and could hit 6.8 million barrels per day by 2025 -- unless OPEC and others pump much more.
"The deficit speaks for itself. That implies oil prices will go through the roof," he said. "Do we think it's sustainable? No. But could it get to those levels? Yes."
The past few months have shown how difficult it is to forecast the future. While $190 crude might sound far-fetched, so did negative-$40 oil.