The Valley International Trade Association (VITA) Newsletter
VITA goes to the Van Nuys Airport
VITA hosted their bi-monthly Global Networking Breakfast at the  Van Nuys Airport with an exclusive bus tour and program for attendees on September 27, 2017. 
Jeffery Daar, International Lawyer from Daar and Newman, Airport Commissioner and VITA Boardmember,  presented updates on the modernization plan and $14 billion projects at sister airport LAX.

General manager Steven Lee and Veriar Collins-Jenkins, Vice President of Charter and Managed Services gave a tour of Clay Lacy Aviation and its many airplanes on display.

Loretta Sanchez, Area Port Director; Carlos Martel, Director of Field Operations; and Officer Hayrapetian gave a tour of the U.S. Customs and Border Field Operations and answered questions. 

Continental Breakfast was sponsored by UPS.
In the News
San Fernando Valley Business Journal, Business in Community 

VITA's Global Networking Breakfast on September 27th at the  Van Nuys Airport was featured in the  San Fernando Valley Business Journal's  Community of  Business Section!

Photo 6 Caption: The Valley International Trade Association hosted its bi-monthly Global Networking Breakfast on September 27 at the Van Nuys Airport. Guests stand in front of Magic Johnson's private jet during a special tour of  Clay Lacy Aviation and U.S. Customs and Border Protection.

New Member Spotlight

Wendy Furth
Furth and Associates

Wendy Furth is an active realtor and broker, who lists and sells properties in the San Fernando, Simi/Moorpark and Conejo Valleys. 

Ms. Furth is a member of the Consolidated Realty Board, National Association of Real Estate Brokers Realtists, National Association of Hispanic Real Estate Professionals and Asian Real Estate Association of America.

Ms. Furth is the 2016 Chair for the Ethics and Arbitration Committee at Southland Regional Association of Realtors and was the 2015 The REALTORS Political Action Committee Trustee for State and Local Campaign Services for National Association of REALTORS.

Visit  www.wendyfurth.com for more information. 
5 Risks you need to Manage when Expanding your Global Footprint
By: Jane Hay, VP, Global Trade Services at US Bank

In the world of global trade, even the best-laid plans can go awry.

I talk with clients every day about the inherent risks of international trade, ranging from preventable errors to unforeseen geopolitical events. For companies looking to expand internationally, being aware of these risks can help minimize the risk of loss and damages.

Here are several key risk factors to keep top of mind:

Commercial risk
What is commercial risk?
A sale isn't a sale until you get paid. If the buyer cannot pay for your products or services, that affects your supply chain and your bottom line. Whenever you, as the exporter, offer credit without collateral, you risk potential losses if the buyer does not pay.

This is especially important for international trade transactions where other risk factors such as political or foreign exchange risks, can weigh heavily on foreign buyers. Without assurances in place, you could be stuck without payment.

How can you address commercial risk?
If possible, collect payment before services are rendered or goods are delivered. If cash-in-advance is not workable, supplement with bank-mediated letters of credit, trade receivables insurance, or credit card payments.

In any case, the strength of your customer relationship will be pivotal to your success. Try to meet in person if possible - even a brief face to face meeting can set the tone for more productive contract and payment terms discussions.

Product risk
What is product risk?
The quality and quantity of your company's goods and/or services helps drive sales and build goodwill with your trading partners. If your product suffers from frequent errors, delays in shipment, or customs concerns, it can hurt your overall brand reputation with buyers.

Here's an example: An international vendor developed coffee mugs for a client's Valentine's Day campaign. The customer asked for red mugs aligning with the holiday theme, but the vendor sent blue - perhaps ideal for Memorial Day, but hardly designed for Valentine's Day.

If this had been a domestic sale, it would likely have been resolved quickly. However, if you are or buying or selling products halfway across the world, any mistake could take weeks or even months to resolve.

How can you address product risk?
Beyond recurring internal quality assurance, you can shield yourself from product risk by conducting pre-shipment inspections. Not only do these inspections reduce the risk of shipping or receiving defective product, they also diminish risk linked to internet commerce, such as phishing and fraud.

Bank risk
What is bank risk?
This risk lies directly with the foreign banks, who are often a party to your international transactions. It is an inverse factor from commercial risk - if you are working with a letter of credit, the commercial risk is replaced by bank risk as the burden is shifted to the importer's bank. If the bank goes out of business, becomes insolvent, or fails to properly execute a payment, it could impact your ability to collect from your customers.

How can you address bank risk?
Research the buyer's bank before entering into a trade agreement. Consider their reputation, financial condition and overall ratings. If selling on letter of credit terms, ask a bank, like U.S. Bank, to confirm the credit and take on the obligations of the issuing bank to pay.

Documentary risk
What is documentary risk?
In the same vein as product risk, documentary risk arises when partners provide improper, incomplete or fraudulent documents associated with an international trade transaction. Just one missing document could grind an entire transaction to a halt, costing both the importer and exporter time and money to resolve.

How can you address documentary risk?
If you don't have trade documentation expertise, invest in training. If you don't have staff available to train, consider a partnership with a firm who specializes preparing trade documentation. Additionally, if you are transacting on letter of credit terms, many banks, like U.S. Bank, offer expertise in documentary compliance and can work with you to ensure that a clean presentation is made to the issuing bank.

Country risk
What is country risk?
The largest and most complex risk factor, country risk covers the overall economic, political and legal stability of a country. There are several sub-factors within this category.
  • Sovereign risk: related to a nation's debt obligations or regulations from central banks
  • Economic risk: general health of the country's economy
  • Political risk: governmental factors or discord from political events
  • Corruption level risk: an index published by Transparency International on corruption within public sectors
  • Legal risk: general structure of the legal system, commercial codes and adherence to the rule of law
These factors may change over the course of a trade relationship, impacting trade partners at several points of the supply chain.

How can you address country risk?
Try to protect yourself as much as possible from country-specific risk factors. Conduct an analysis of the importing country's economic and political trends, FX reserves and sector performances before considering ways to mitigate those risk that are of concern. Private insurers and the Export-Import Bank of the United States offer trade receivables credit insurance to help shield companies from country risk factors outside of their control.

Additionally, when selling on letter of credit payment terms, banks like U.S. Bank also offer letter of credit confirmations to mitigate country risks.

Knowing the risks is half the battle.
All of these risk factors can adversely impact your business, so it is vital to understand them and seek out ways to protect yourself. If you want to learn more about how U.S. Bank helps exporters navigate these risks, contact me at [email protected] for more information.
Autumn Conference in Japan

Consulegis hosted their 2017 Autumn Conference in Osaka, Japan from October 10-14. The conference included a welcome reception at the Osaka Bar Association hosted by member, Honmachi International Law and a panel discussion. 
Jeffery Daar, VITA board member attended and took part in the panel discussion on the rise of populism and its impact on international law, Brexit and debt collection issues for Japanese businesses. 
Consulegis is an international network of independent law firms, in-house lawyers and related professional advisors. The network started with approximately a dozen local members and now includes members in more than 45 countries and 150 cities globally. The principle objective of Consulegis is to provide its members with legal resources for their clients throughout the world, with a particular emphasis on professionalism, mutual trust and friendship, i.e., to arm its members, whose clients have commercial and litigation requirements extending beyond their own borders, with the ability to refer clients to known and trusted colleagues in all corners of the commercial world. 
Get Global Conference
October 25, 2017

By bringing together over 150 Speakers, 100+ global Sponsors and 1,000+ senior business executives, innovators and influencers, the Get Global Conference on October 25th at Los Angeles Theater Center  provides an environment to meet and develop meaningful relationships with real people who are responsible for making things happen in their respective markets. 

Whether you are a start-up securing your first international contract, or an established Fortune 500 looking to optimize your in-market operations, GetGlobal will arm you with the knowledge and contacts to achieve success.

Use code VITA for 40% off tickets. 
At GetGlobal 2017 you will get one-of-a-kind access to:
  • Unbeatable networking with the world's best experts and partners in their fields
  • Up-to-the minute intelligence on the latest shifts inside and across markets at the consumer, business, and government level
  • Unique discussions on topics of make-or-break importance that do not happen anywhere else
  • Companies that can share their experiences of success or challenges with you
  • Senior officials here and from abroad who can help with your cross-market efforts
  • Tools and strategies that will save you time and money on foreign business deals
Some of what you will see and the people you will meet:
  • Andy Kaplan will discuss his insights from leading Sony Pictures Television, detailing what is currently resonating with its two billion viewers around the world;
  • Noel Lee will reveal Monster Inc's secret to global expansion through creativity, innovation, and collaboration;
  • Ryan Patel will tell you how he helped take Pinkberry from just 95 locations to 265 stores in 23 countries;
  • Talia Baruch will share her experiences for how she helped take Linkedin and SurveyMonkey global, and made serious impact in China, the Middle East, Latin America and more;
  • Tony Huie will share his fascinating stories on the frontlines of internationalizing Dropbox, and what he is doing today with SignalFire; and
  • Cynthia Johnson, entrepreneur and columnist, will share insights she is gleaned about what it takes to thrive in the competitive international landscape.
  • And so much more...
Visit www.getglobal.co to learn more and to register. 
Doing Business in Trinidad, Tobago and Barbados Webinars

Doing Business in Trinidad and Tobago
October 31, 2017 at 10 am PT
Cost: $35
 
The United States is Trinidad and Tobago's largest trading partner, accounting for 40% of Trinidad and Tobago's total imports and purchasing 38% of its exports.  A small country of 1.3 million, Trinidad and Tobago's economy is dominated by the energy sector. Trinidad and Tobago's geographic proximity and strong links with the United States have contributed to a strong presence by U.S. firms in the country. Trinidad and Tobago imported $2.4 billion of U.S. goods in 2016. Best prospects sectors for U.S. exports include: Energy equipment and services, equipment and supplies required for manufacturing, automotive sector, and maritime services, safety and security products, information and communication technology, entertainment and tourism related equipment and services.
 
The foregoing analysis of export opportunities in the Caribbean Region is not intended to be exhaustive, but illustrates the many opportunities available to U.S. businesses. Applications from U.S. companies will be considered and evaluated by the U.S. Department of Commerce on their market potential in the Caribbean region.
 
Doing Business in Barbados 
Date: November 8, 2017 at 10 am PT
Cost: $35
 
Barbados is the largest market in the Eastern Caribbean and enjoys a robust trading relationship with the United States, with Barbados importing $483 million of U.S. goods in 2016. Barbados enjoys one of the highest per capita incomes in the region and an investment climate which benefits from its political stability and stable institutions. Tourism and financial services are important foreign exchange earners for Barbados, and opportunities are primarily in these sectors. The tourism sector is expected to be upgraded through several announced construction projects, with growth projected for the medium term. The government is also actively encouraging the development of new sectors such as renewable energy, pharmaceuticals, digital technologies, holdings companies and global asset management.  Best Prospects include Construction and Building Products; Consumer Goods; Agricultural Products and Equipment; Renewable Energy Technologies and Equipment; Hotel and Restaurant Equipment and Financial Services.
Agriculture Export Financing Free Seminars

VITA Co-Chairperson Brett Tarnet will be presenting at the Agriculture Export Financing Seminars on November 6th in Fresno and November 7th in Bakersfield,  hosted by the District Export Council of Southern California and sponsored by Rabobank.  The event is an opportunity to get expert advice for agricultural products and equipment producers in the San Joaquin Valley.  

Exports play an important role in California's economy and they could play an important role in the future of your company. Find out how to use these tools to improve your global competitiveness and protect your foreign receivables. 

Speakers include the Foreign Agricultural Service, SBA, Export Import Bank, and several subject matter experts and will be providing information based on actual successes in the field.

Attendees will learn about
  • Loans to Exporters: Sources of Funding and How-To's on qualification
  • Buyer Financing Options
  • Contract / Payment Structures in Export Transactions
  • Payment Risk Mitigation Techniques
  • U.S. Government Assistance Available
  • How I Obtained the Export Financing Needed to Become Successful
  • Special Bonus: Ask the Experts in One-On-One counseling!
Brett Tarnet will provide information during both sessions on transactional structure options, and risk mitigation best practices for exporters of agricultural products and equipment.

Registration - November 6th at U.S. Export Assistant Center in Fresno 
Registration - November 7th at University of Bakersfield
Federation of Phillippine American Chambers of Commerce 2017 
Tri-City Tour in Los Angeles

The Federation of Philippine American Chambers of Commerce (FPACC) is hosting the Bi-National Convention and Business to Business (B2B) International Trade at Los Angeles Valley College on November 15th. This will involve an international delegation of top executives from companies belonging to the Philippine Chamber of Commerce & Industry, to network and forge possible business ties with counterpart U.S. companies. 

FPACC has also invited Philippine national and local government leaders to speak during the plenary and breakout workshop sessions which begins in Arizona. The business conference and B2B sessions will continue in Los Angeles and will be hosted by the 3 Filipino American Chambers of Commerce in Southern California, including FACC-Greater LA, FACC-SouthBay LA Area and FACC-Tri County, in cooperation with The Valley International Trade Association. 

Registration: 

Please contact B2B L.A. Chairperson Lois Klavir at  [email protected]  or Vice President for International Trade & Commerce Alex Borromeo at  [email protected]  to learn more about the B2B matching services.

Governor of Fukushima visits Los Angeles

The Valley Industry and Commerce Association's International Trade Committee hosted a meeting and discussion with  Masao Uchibori, Governor of Fukushima Prefecture, at the Consulate-General of Japan in Los Angeles on October 18th. 
Panama Economic Outlook

T he economy expanded a healthy 5.4% in annual terms in the second quarter, according to recent national accounts data. Despite decelerating from the previous quarter's multi-year high, economic activity remains buoyant driven by an expansion in all economic sectors. The healthy economic momentum is expected to carry into H2 even though a high base effect, coinciding with the opening of the expanded Panama Canal in June of last year, should result in lower year-on-year growth prints of monthly economic activity and quarterly gross domestic product (GDP.) Nevertheless, ongoing double-digit growth in Panama Canal revenues and cargo movements in ports along with construction of large-scale infrastructure projects should propel the country to the top of the list of fastest-growing economies in Central America for both this year and next.

Panama Economy Overview
Panama has been one of the fastest growing economies in Latin America over the past decade, with real GDP expanding an average of 8.4% between 2004 and 2013. Moreover, Panama performed relatively well during the global financial crisis, including 4.0% growth in 2009 when many other countries in the region suffered a contraction. The Panamanian economy accelerated in the following years, reaching double-digit growth rates in 2010 and 2011.

The economy of Panama is centered on a highly-developed services sector, which represents more than 75% of GDP. The Panama Canal and use of the U.S. dollar have promoted the strengthening of a globally-oriented services economy. The Panama Canal is essential to global trade and accounts for almost 10% of the country's GDP. Other important components of the service economy are the Colon Free Trade Zone (CFZ), which is the second largest free port in the world, and the Trans-Panama Pipeline, which allows for the transport of crude oil between the Pacific and Atlantic coasts. The license and registry of the Panama flag to merchant ships is another source of economic activity. Panama also has a large logistics and storage services sector, as well as a modern banking and insurance industry. The agricultural sector has lost importance over the years, accounting for less than 10% of GDP today. The main cash crops produced in the country are bananas, corn, coffee and sugar.
Expansion of the Panama Canal has been a major source of economic activity since the project began in 2007. Estimated at a cost of USD 5.5 billion, the construction of wider locks and deeper channels will allow for passage of larger container freight ships, help the canal remain competitive in the realm of global trade and therefore sustain toll revenues. Other large public spending infrastructure projects have also driven economic growth in recent years and solidified Panama's standing as a major logistical hub in the region. This includes the building of a metro line in Panama City, which was inaugurated in April 2014 and is the first in Central America, as well as a new metrobus system, an improved highway network and enhancements to Tocumen International Airport.

While the Panama Canal and related activity were historically the main economic engines, growth is now also being driven by a modern banking and financial services sector. This sector, which features more than 80 established banking and financial institutions, including insurance and re-insurance companies, has expanded greatly thanks to the free flow of capital, adherence to international regulation standards, the dollarized economy and a stable political environment.

Panama's Balance of Payments
Panama usually records a current account deficit on the balance of payments, due in large part to a negative trade balance. The current account has widened recently as imports for government infrastructure projects increase. However, foreign direct investment, which has been an essential contributor to recent growth, has helped offset current account imbalances. In 2013, foreign direct investment in Panama reached its highest level in history with USD 4 billion in total inflows.

Panama's Trade Structure
The external sector is a crucial component of the Panamanian economy, and Panama has become increasingly integrated in the global trade system in recent years. Panama signed a free trade agreement with the United States in 2012, which further boosted investment and trade flows. An association agreement with the European Union (EU) was signed in 2013. A free trade agreement was reached with Mexico in 2014 and is seen as the first step in Panama's objective of joining the Pacific Alliance, which would strengthen trade ties with Asia.

Exports from Panama
Exports of goods and services always have represented a major portion of Panama's GDP. In 2013, Panama exported USD 17.5 billion worth of goods, plus an additional USD 9.8 billion in services, for a total of USD 27.3 billion, which represents almost 65% of GDP. The majority of Panama's exported services are related either directly or indirectly to the Panama Canal and the CFZ.
The main goods that Panama exports are medicines, petroleum products, ships and agricultural commodities. The United States, Ecuador and Venezuela are the main recipients of these exports. The CFZ, which accounts for more than 7.0% of the national economy, also serves as a major distribution point for re-exported goods. A large amount of merchandise arriving from North America, Asia and Europe is then re-exported to other countries, primarily in the Western Hemisphere. Goods either exported or re-exported through the CFZ represent upward of USD 10 billion annually.

According to FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists' June 2014 projections, exports are expected to increase to USD 19.4 billion in 2014 and to tally an annual pace of growth of 10.6%. In 2015, panelists expect exports to rise to USD 19.9 billion.

Imports to Panama
While Panama is a net exporter of services, it is also a net importer of goods. Panama is self-sufficient in some domestically-produced agricultural products such as bananas, sugar and rice, but imports large quantities of other foods. Import growth of food products and merchandise goods has accelerated in recent years in unison with growing domestic demand. The Panama Canal expansion project has led to an increase in imports of materials and machinery. Moreover, Panama is the top energy consumer in Central America, and must import more than 80% of its energy to meet its needs.

Panama's Economic Policy
The Panamanian government has promoted economic growth over the past decade in large part through open market policies and by supporting free trade. Moreover, the government actively encourages foreign direct investment through lax regulation and by guaranteeing ease of business.

During his tenure as president from 2009 to 2014, Ricardo Martinelli implemented a USD 15 billion strategic spending plan in key sectors, such as financial services, agriculture, logistics and tourism, as well as in airport, port and road infrastructure to consolidate Panama as a major global trade hub. This was in addition to the USD 5.5 billion spent on the Panama Canal expansion project, which has been the main part of the economic growth agenda. This strategic government plan also included policies to boost investments in hospitals, education, sanitation and other basic services, particularly in rural areas where poverty rates are much higher.

Panama's Fiscal Policy
While in power, President Martinelli signed a series of fiscal reform packages designed to simplify tax collection, increase revenues and attract investment. Most importantly, the reforms broadened the tax base, reduced the number of tax brackets, lowered personal and corporate income rates, increased the VAT rate, and enhanced tax administration. The new fiscal structure has been effective in providing funds for large infrastructure projects around the country. These reforms have helped drive public debt down to less than 40% of GDP.

The Panama Savings Fund (FAP), a long-term government wealth fund, was created in 2012 using the surplus revenues from the Panama Canal. Payments made by the Panama Canal Authority to the Treasury in excess of 3.5% of GDP will be channeled to the FAP. The fund is designed with the objective of setting aside national savings for future generations and economic stabilization in case of extreme situations, such as natural disasters or economic crises.

As of the June 2014 FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast report, panelists surveyed expect Panama's public debt to settle at 38.4% of GDP in 2014, and to decrease steadily toward 33.3% by the end of 2018. Meanwhile, panelists project that the government's fiscal balance will register a deficit of 2.6% of GDP in 2014 and narrow slightly to a deficit of 2.3% in 2015.

Panama's Monetary Policy
Officially known as the Balboa, the currency of Panama has been pegged to the U.S. dollar at parity since the country gained independence in 1903. Today, the U.S. dollar is still the primary legal tender. While dollarization spurred the development of a strong external-facing services sector, Panama does not have a central bank and does not issue any paper currency to be put into circulation. Without the ability to implement its own monetary policy or exchange rate adjustments, it is difficult for the government to control inflationary pressures. In fact, the monetary stimulus policies that the United States has introduced in recent years have produced direct currency inflows into Panama as well as higher commodity prices. With inflation trending above historically-low levels, the Panamanian government has begun minting its own coins in an attempt to sustain public spending. However, circulation of coins in the domestic economy is more of a symbolic measure and will not really offset the challenges of dollarization.

The Valley International Trade Association | 818-379-7000 
The mission of The Valley International Trade Association is to promote  international trade by providing valuable resources, informational programs, referral assistance,  and networking opportunities.  

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